The envelopes are sealed, the bow ties are being tied and the dresses in all of their glory are ready to dazzle on the red carpet as Hollywood is preparing to celebrate its biggest night with the 96th Academy Awards. 2023 was not without its challenges for the film industry, but it was an incredible year for cinema, with a plethora of terrific films. With 23 of those prestigious trophies to be won, let me gaze into my metaphorical crystal ball to see who will take etch their name into history and be crowned with an Oscar.

Just a quick note, that my predictions won’t include the documentaries and the shorts as I have not seen them, though I will endeavour to make an effort to watch those and include them in my predictions next year.

 

Best Animated Feature Film

• The Boy and the Heron  – Hayao Miyazaki and Toshio Suzuki
• Elemental   – Peter Sohn and Denise Ream
• Nimona  – Nick Bruno, Troy Quane, Karen Ryan and Julie Zackary
• Robot Dreams  – Pablo Berger, Ibon Cormenzana, Ignasi Estapé and Sandra Tapia Díaz
• Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse  – Kemp Powers, Justin K. Thompson, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller, and Amy Pascal

Kicking us off, Best Animated is always a competitive category, but arguably this year more than most as there was a vast array of high-quality animated films, with the House of Mouse celebrating its 100th anniversary. The studio is represented here with another gem from Pixar in Elemental. Still, its hopes of winning here are slim to none, because this race is a battle of the astonishing animated wizardry of Across the Spider-Verse against what is believed to be the final bow from the legendary Hayao Miyazaki.  Both films are immaculately animated with ambitious stories in scope touching on very different but important themes, but while Boy and the Heron‘s story does get a bit convoluted, Spider-Verse does not. I hope I am wrong, but my spider-sense is telling me that the Academy might just favour giving this award to someone who has brought so much to this art form, but it could go either way.

Will Win: The Boy and The Heron 

Should Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Could have been nominated: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Best Supporting Actress

• Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer
• Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple 
• America Ferrera – Barbie 
• Jodie Foster  – Nyad
• Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers 

The first of the supporting actor categories, and unlike last year where there was no frontrunner, this is anything but. It is fantastic to see Danielle Brooks be recognised for  The Colour Purple, the fact she is the film’s sole representative across this entire awards season is extremely bewildering and speaks to the sheer scale of competition this year, where a great film only gets one nomination (more on that in a bit). With a lack of a Best Picture nom, the chances for her and Nyad’s Jodie Foster are slim to none.  It looked as though she might miss out, but America Ferrara’s nomination was thoroughly deserved for THAT monologue scene alone. Blunt, somehow is scoring the first nomination of her career and despite a somewhat frustrating role where she is reduced to a drunken housewife, she certainly left an impression with that fiery moment in the hearing scene at the end of the film. Yet, given that she has picked up just about every award going in this awards season, nothing is going to stop Da’Vine Joy Randolph from deservedly completing the set and bagging the Oscar for her wonderful performance in The Holdovers.

Will Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

Should Win: Da’Vine Joy Randolph

Could have been nominated: Claire Foy for All of Us Strangers or Sandra Huller for The Zone of Interest

 

Best Supporting Actor

• Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction 
• Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon 
• Robert Downey Jr – Oppenheimer 
• Ryan Gosling – Barbie 
• Mark Ruffalo  – Poor Things 

For the past four years, two actors from the same film have cropped up in this category, and there was a chance it could have been a fifth year in a row had Willem Dafoe also been nominated for Poor Things. Sterling K. Brown is the only actor of this crop picking up his first nomination, for his memorable turn as the brother to Jeffrey Wright’s frustrated author in American Fiction. Mark Ruffalo’s hilarious turn as a slimy lawyer in Poor Things was another reminder of his incredible talent which he doesn’t get to explore in the MCU. Robert DeNiro”s turn as the reptilian William “King” Hale has brought the ninth nomination of his career, and in another year, it might have resulted in another win for the industry legend. Ryan Gosling certainly brought all the Kenergy he could to what was a scene-stealing performance, but not even the Kenergy Gosling brought to his performance will be able to stop Robert Downey Jr from claiming his first Oscar.

Like with Supporting Actress, this is not a contest, as Downey Jr has swept all before him with his incredible performance as Lewis Strauss. It is quite fitting that 15 years since the late Heath Ledger’s iconic performance in one Christopher Nolan masterpiece denied Downey an Oscar, another Nolan masterpiece will give him his first Oscar.

Will Win: Robert Downey Jr.

Should Win: Robert Downey Jr.

Could have been nominated: Willem Dafoe for Poor Things or Paul Mescal for All of Us Strangers 

Best Cinematography

• El Conde  – Edward Lachman 
• Killers of the Flower Moon  – Rodrigo Prieto 
• Maestro  – Matthew Libatique 
• Oppenheimer – Hoyte van Hoyetma 
• Poor Things – Robbie Ryan 

There’s only one name on this Oscar, and that is Hoyte van Hoytema’s.

Will Win: Hoyte van Hoyetma 

Should Win: Hoyte van Hoyetma 

Could have been nominated: Łukasz Żal for The Zone of Interest

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

 

• Golda – Karen Hartley Thomas, Suzi Battersby and Ashra Kelly-Blue
• Maestro – Kazu Hiro, Kay Georgiou and Lori McCoy-Bell
• Oppenheimer  – Luisa Abel 
• Poor Things  – Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier and Josh Weston
• Society of the Snow – Ana López-Puigcerver, David Martí and Montse Ribé

Usually, success in this category correlates with the transformative make-up work done to a particular actor in one of the acting races, but given the way I suspect the acting races will go, that logic does not apply here. Therefore, given the significant amount of chatter with which one particular nose generated (a big fuss over nothing really), and with Kazu Hiro having picked up two wins in this category for Darkest Hour and Bombshell, I am backing him to make it a hat-trick here, though Poor Things and Oppenheimer could be potential dark horses.

Will Win:  Maestro 

Should Win: Maestro

Should have been nominated: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

Best Costume Design

• Barbie  – Jacqueline Durran 
• Killers of the Flower Moon  – Jacqueline West
• Napoleon  – Janty Yates and David Crossman 
• Oppenheimer   – Ellen Mirojnick 
• Poor Things  – Holly Waddington 

This is the first of many battles that is likely to be a very close contest between Barbie and Poor Things, with round one going to Poor Things (or as my very good friend Jay McGrath so brilliantly called it, Arthouse Barbie!)

Will Win: Poor Things

Should Win: Poor Things 

Should have been nominated: Francine Jamison-Tanchuck for The Color Purple 

Best International Feature Film

 

• Io capitano   (Italy)  – directed by Matteo Garrone
• Perfect Days (Japan)  – directed by Wim Wenders  
• Society of the Snow  (Spain)  – directed by J.A. Bayona 
• The Teachers’ Lounge  (Germany)  – directed by İlker Çatak
• The Zone of Interest  (United Kingdom)  – directed by Jonathan Glazer 

Had France submitted Anatomy of a Fall for its submission in this category, this could have been a very intriguing race between two Best Picture nominees. However, as the sole Best Picture nominee here, The Zone of Interest will make history by becoming the United Kingdom’s first winner in this category at the third time of asking.

Will Win: The Zone of Interest 

Should Win: The Zone of Interest

Best Production Design

• Barbie  – Production Design: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer 
• Killers of the Flower Moon – Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis
• Napoleon – Production Design: Arthur Max; Set Decoration: Elli Griff 
• Oppenheimer – Production Design: Ruth De Jong; Set Decoration: Claire Kaufman 
• Poor Things – Production Design: James Price and Shona Heath; Set Decoration: Zsuzsa Mihalek

Barbie VS Arthouse Barbie Round 2. Given the fact that the Barbie production design team used so much pink paint to design the world of Barbie Land, they caused a worldwide shortage, I feel like this should tip the scale in Barbie’s favour, particularly since Barbie duo Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer are on their seventh nomination and their incredible work to bring Barbie Land to life should merit them their first win. However, with wins from the Art Director’s Guild of America and BAFTA, the momentum is with Poor Things.

Will Win: Poor Things 

Should Win: Barbie

Best Original Score

• American Fiction – Laura Karpman 
• Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny  – John Williams 
• Killers of the Flower Moon – Robbie Robertson 
• Oppenheimer  – Ludwig Göransson
• Poor Things – Jerskin Fendrix 

I don’t think you will find anyone on planet Earth who would dispute John Williams’s status as one of the greatest composers in film history. His legend status is assured, but his nomination for the latest Indiana Jones is endlessly frustrating and borderline lazy. Was anything he composed for the film (the theme tune does not count) memorable? The Academy could have shown ambition by giving animated films nominations elsewhere and showed Daniel Pemberton some love for his brilliant Across the Spider-Verse score, or likewise for Joe Hisaishi for The Boy and the Heron. A posthumous win for Robbie Robertson would be a nice moment, but I hope Ludwig Göransson can hear the music when they announce his name because he will be claiming his second Oscar after his win for Black Panther.

Will Win: Ludwig Göransson

Should Win: Ludwig Göransson

Should have been nominated: Daniel Pemberton for Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Sound

• The Creator  – Ian Voigt, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
• Maestro  – Steven A. Morrow, Richard King, Jason Ruder, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic
• Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning  – Chris Munro, James H. Mather, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor
• Oppenheimer  – Willie Burton, Richard King, Gary A. Rizzo and Kevin O’Connell
• The Zone of Interest – Tarn Willers and Johnnie Burn

From the minute Oppenheimer debuted and the enthralling Trinity Test sequences reverberated from cinema speakers across the world quite literally blasting people back into their seats, especially in IMAX, this race felt like an open and shut case and the names of those sound artists were already on the trophy. Yet, given the crucial role of sound utilised in The Zone of Interest to depict the horrors of the Auschwitz concentration camp, and its win over Oppenheimer at BAFTA, it has emerged as a potential upset on the former’s march towards an impressive sweep. It might well have surged too late, and given sound and editing usually go hand in hand, I don’t foresee another upset here.

Will Win: Oppenheimer 

Should Win: Oppenheimer

Best Original Song

• “The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot – Music and lyrics by Diane Warren
• “I’m Just Ken” from Barbie  – Music and lyrics by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
• “It Never Went Away” from American Symphony – Music and lyrics by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson
• “Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)” from Killers of the Flower Moon – Music and lyrics by Scott George
• “What Was I Made For?” from Barbie   –  Music and lyrics by Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell

.Another year, another nomination for Dianne Warren, which brings her total number of nominations to 15. Yet, her wait for that Oscar is almost certainly going to continue as this year’s contest boils down to a battle of the Barbies VS Kens, as it’s a straight fight between the hilarious “I’m Just Ken” so tremendously well performed by Ryan Gosling and the more heartfelt “What Was I Made For” during the film’s emotional conclusion. The brother and sister duo of Billie Eilish and Finneas O’Connell were just 20 and 24 years old when they scooped their first Oscar in 2022 for the theme song from No Time to Die, and were they to win again, Eilish would become the youngest two-time winner in Oscars history, and it would be fully deserved. Though, the lack of nomination for “Live That Way Forever” from The Iron Claw (indeed, the lack of nominations for the film in general) really boggles the mind.

Will Win: “What Was I Made For” from Barbie 

Should Win: “What Was I Made For” from Barbie 

Should have been nominated: “Live That Way Forever” from The Iron Claw  

Best Film Editing

• Anatomy of a Fall – Laurent Sénéchal
• The Holdovers  – Kevin Tent 
• Killers of the Flower Moon – Thelma Schoonmaker 
• Opppenheimer  – Jennifer Lame 
• Poor Things  – Yorgos  Mavropsaridis

To make three hours and three and a half hours fly by as quickly as they did is a testament to the immense editing work of both Jennifer Lame and Thelma Schoonmaker for Oppenheimer and Killers of the Flower Moon respectively. If Schoonmaker were to win, she would become the first person in this category to win four Oscars. However, as previously mentioned, sound and editing often go hand in hand, so you can add this to Oppenheimer‘s collection of awards.

Will Win: Oppenheimer 

Should Win: Oppenheimer

Best Visual Effects

 

• The Creator – Jay Cooper, Ian Comley, Andrew Roberts, and Neil Corbould
• Godzilla Minus One – Takashi Yamazaki, Kiyoko Shibuya, Masaki Takahashi, and Tatsuji Nojima
• Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 – Stephane Ceretti, Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams, and Theo Bialek 
• Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning – Alex Wutke, Simone Coco, Jeff Sutherland, and Neil Corbould
• Napoleon  – Charley Henley, Luc-Ewen Martin-Fenouillet, Simone Coco, and Neil Corbould

Given that none of these films are Best Picture contenders, there is no immediate frontrunner here. Oppenheimer on the face of it seemed like a sure bet to win, but somewhat surprisingly it did not even make the shortlist, perhaps given Nolan’s desire to use practical effects whenever possible counted against him. Also, BAFTA winner Poor Things is absent, opening the door for another film to grab Oscar gold. For a film with a budget of just $80m, the work on The Creator is phenomenal, likewise for Godzilla Minus One and its even smaller budget of $10-12m nabbed the King of the Monsters’ first nomination. It amazes me that despite many nominations, an MCU film has never won this award. Guardians would be a worthy winner to break that streak. But in a battle of futuristic sci-fi vs a big Kaiju, the futuristic sci-fi has it.

Will Win: The Creator 

Should Win: Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3

 

Best Original Screenplay

• Anatomy of a Fall   – Written by Justine Triet and Arthur Harari 
• The Holdovers  – Written by David Hemingson 
• Maestro   – Written by Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer 
• May December   – Written by Samy Burch; Story by Samy Buch and Alex Mechanik 
• Past Lives   – Written by Celine Song 

This might have been a very different race had there not been some category switcheroo taking place (more on that in a bit).

With its lack of Best Picture nomination, May December can immediately be discounted, leaving the four Best Picture contenders. Maestro seems to have taken on the mantra of everyone’s favourite punching bag of this year, a tad harsh for my money as the passion which went into the screenplay is there to see on screen, but this won’t end Bradley Cooper’s long wait for an Oscar. The buzz for Past Lives was massive when it premiered at Sundance last year but its momentum seems to have stalled at the worst possible time, while The Holdovers’ witticisms, its brilliant use of comedic insults, and the warm fuzziness it generates could help it to snag a win. Yet, that seems unlikely Anatomy of a Fall triumphed at the Golden Globes and BAFTA and is odds on to complete the hat trick with the Oscar, which is perhaps the best place to honour the Palme D’Or winner at Cannes, given it was not chosen by France as its submission for Best International Feature.

Will Win: Anatomy of a Fall

Should Win: Past Lives

Should have been nominated: The Iron Claw 

Best Adapted Screenplay

• American Fiction  – Written by Cord Jefferson 
• Barbie  – Written by Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach 
• Oppenheimer   – Written by Christopher Nolan 
• Poor Things  – Written by Cord Tony McNamara
• The Zone of Interest  – Written by Jonathan Glazer

And here’s where that category switcheroo comes into play which has made this race considerably spicier.

Across this awards season, Barbie has competed in Original, which does make sense as despite being based on Barbie characters, it does tell a wholly original story. Yet the Academy decreed it belonged in the adapted screenplay, so here we are. A very strong field of Best Picture contenders, Jonathan Glazer loosely adapted the novel of the same by Martin Amis into a timely and horrifying analysis of human complicity in the face of unspeakable evil. Tony McNamara’s adaptation of Alasdair Gray’s novel combines the film’s horror-ish elements with some of the blackest humour and the results were hilarious. Given he wrote parts of the script in the first person, a win for Nolan here is not out of the question and could add to Oppenheimer‘s likely sweep, which brings me to Barbie, the second half of the Barbenheimer phenomenon. Gerwig missed out on the Best Director nom, and given the impact this phenomenon had in getting people out to the cinemas, dressing up, and just the vibe it created, Gerwig and Baumbach deserve some recognition.

Part of me wants to say this will go Barbie’s way. However, what gives me pause is American Fiction has surged late on, particularly with it winning at BAFTA (the only category it was nominated in) is quite the feat, and perhaps given its sharp and satirical analysis of writing, it connected the most with the Writers branch of the Academy and looks on course to propel it, and Cord Jefferson to a win for his first foray into feature film writing and directing, which would be mightily impressive.

Will Win: American Fiction 

Should Win: Barbie

Should have been nominated: Andrew Haigh for All of Us Strangers or Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and David Callaham for Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Director

• Justine Triet – Anatomy of a Fall
• Martin Scorsese  – Killers of the Flower Moon
• Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer 
• Yorgos Lanthimos –Poor Things
• Jonathan Glazer  – The Zone of Interest

The first of two categories that were guaranteed to cause chaos regardless of who was nominated. given the sheer quality of top-quality films competing this year, someone high profile was going to miss out, and that someone was Greta Gerwig. It is hard to argue who could Gerwig displace in what is a very strong field of nominees this year, but as I summarised in a tweet that went semi-viral, I just feel like given Barbie was the undisputed queen of the box office, becoming the first film by a solo female director to cross $1bn at the worldwide box office. It is historic and (in my opinion) should have merited her nomination.

Though, even if Gerwig had been nominated, her chances of winning are next to nought as this is Christopher Nolan’s time, he is well overdue a win given his phenomenal contribution to cinema throughout his career, and he deserves it for that phenomenal Trinity test scene alone. Academy Award winner Christopher Nolan, it has a very nice ring to it.

Will Win: Christopher Nolan

Should Win: Christopher Nolan

Could have been nominated: Greta Gerwig for Barbie

Best Actress in a Leading Role

• Annette Benning – Nyad 
• Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
• Sandra Huller – Anatomy of a Fall
• Carey Mulligan – Maestro 
• Emma Stone – Poor Things 

The second of the categories that was bound to cause complete chaos when the nominations were unveiled as someone big was going to miss out, with Margot Robbie and Greta Lee finding themselves really unfortunate to miss out despite excellent performances in Barbie and Past Lives. Carey Mulligan’s wait for Oscar glory should have ended in 2021 when she should have won for Promising Young Woman, but alas her wait for an Oscar will go on despite another excellent performance in Maestro. Likewise for Annette Benning,  despite her performance in Nyad representing her fifth career nomination. Sandra Huller had a phenomenal 2023 appearing in two Best Picture films, and she seems the most likely to be a potential upset because this year’s Best Actress race is essentially a Battle of the Stones.

On the one hand, you have Lily Gladstone who outshone industry legends like Leonardo DiCaprio and Robert DeNiro with her understated and devastating performance as Mollie Burkhart in Martin Scorsese’s latest masterpiece. She conveys, through her eyes and body language, such raw and devastating emotion, as her character endures horrific tragedy as her family members are killed, sometimes in the most horrific and brutal of ways. Yet on the other hand, you have Emma Stone’s fearless and arguably career-best performance as Bella Baxter, as she takes charge of her own destiny and goes on a fascinating journey through the complicated and beautiful world. It is definitely the riskier of the two performances and in the wrong actor’s hands it could have been an absolute disaster, but Stone’s talent comes to the fore. Either would be a tremendously worthy winner.

Gladstone was inexcusably snubbed at BAFTA, which could count against her. However, she did win the Critics Choice award, and as was the case last year with Michelle Yeoh, Gladstone has a potentially history-making narrative on her side as she would become the first Indigenous American actress to win. In any given year, Emma Stone would have it in the bag, but with that history-making caveat, I think this tips it in Gladstone’s favour and Gladstone is probably her film’s only shot at winning something. Otherwise, two consecutive Martin Scorsese films will have received a slew of nominations, only to walk away with nothing which honestly doesn’t bear thinking about.

Will Win: Lily Gladstone 

Should Win: Lily Gladstone

Should have been nominated: Greta Lee for Past Lives or Margot Robbie for Barbie

Best Actor in a Leading Role

• Bradley Cooper – Maestro
• Colman Domingo – Rustin 
• Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
• Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer 
• Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

As is the case with his Maestro co-star, Bradley Cooper is someone whose wait for Oscars gold should have ended in 2019, for his beautiful work as an actor/writer/director in his work on A Star is Born. He has now garnered 12 nominations in his career, and yet still no Oscar. As previously mentioned, his work on the Leonard Bernstein biopic has attracted some criticism and ridicule as nothing more than Oscar bait and a desperate attempt to win an Oscar, which is a bit harsh as the passion for the project is evident. Colman Domingo’s excellent performance shines a light on a very prominent activist whom more people should know about, while Wright arguably gives the performance of his career as a frustrated author who unexpectedly finds success with a cliched novel he writes out of spite.

However, this race has essentially boiled down to a race between arguably the most important man who ever lived and a curmudgeonly classics professor who is reluctantly tasked with looking after a group of kids at a boarding school who have nowhere to go for the Christmas holidays. Giamatti’s character does have some of the most brilliant quips and witticisms and he is a well-respected actor. However, Murphy has the momentum of winning at BAFTA and the Critics Choice and is the central performance in the Best Picture frontrunner. If Murphy was not as brilliant as he was, then the entire film would have fallen apart. Murphy has enjoyed a productive collaborative relationship with Nolan over the last two decades, and to see both of them crowned as Oscar winners on the same evening will be a special moment.

Will Win: Cillian Murphy

Should Win: Cillian Murphy 

Could have been nominated: Zac Efron for The Iron Claw

And, last and certainly by no means least…

Best Picture

• American Fiction  – Ben LeClair, Nikos Karamigios, Cord Jefferson, and Jermaine Johnson
• Anatomy of a Fall  – Marie-Ange Luciani and David Thion
• Barbie  – David Heyman, Margot Robbie, Tom Ackerley, and Robbie Brenner
• The Holdovers  – Mark Johnson 
• Killers of the Flower Moon – Dan Friedkin, Bradley Thomas, Martin Scorsese, and Daniel Lupi
• Maestro  – Bradley Cooper, Steven Spielberg, Fred Berner, Amy Durning, and Kristie Macosko Krieger
• Oppenheimer   – Emma Thomas, Charles Roven and Christopher Nolan  
• Past Lives  – David Hinojosa, Christine Vachon, and Pamela Koffler,
• Poor Things  – Ed Guiney, Andrew Lowe, Yorgos Lanthimos, and Emma Stone
• The Zone of Interest  – James Wilson  

Click here to see my ranking of the Best Picture contenders.

As I mentioned in my ranking of this year’s Best Picture nominees, I would argue this is the strongest lineup of nominees this category has seen for a good few years, perhaps since the 92nd Oscars in 2020 where Parasite made history. There is for my money, no film here that looks out of place and this year’s crop made history with three of the nominees being directed by women, long may that continue.

2023 will almost certainly be remembered as the year of the Barbenheimer phenomenon, which became a cultural event unlike anything we have seen for a while, and prompted people everywhere to return to the cinemas in droves. Barbie, unquestionably, ruled the box office, but Oppenheimer will to borrow a phrase, become the victor, the winner of Oscars. If my predictions are correct, Oppenehimer could become the most successful Oscar-winning film since 2008’s Slumdog Millionaire, as it could take home as many as eight golden statues. Christopher Nolan is one of those directors whose name is instantly recognisable, with an impressive body of work that somehow hadn’t already won him an Oscar. This film is undoubtedly the crowning moment of his incredible career, fittingly hailed by many as his magnum opus, and will be the one to ensure he writes his name into the history books.

Will Win:  Oppenheimer 

Should Win: Oppenheimer

Should have been nominated: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse or The Iron Claw 

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Final counts

Will win:

• Oppenheimer – 8 (Picture, Actor, Director, Supporting Actor, Film Editing, Score, Sound and Cinematography)  
• Poor Things – 2 (Costumes and Production Design)  
• American Fiction – 1 (Adapted Screenplay)  
• Anatomy of a Fall – 1 (Original Screenplay)  
• Barbie – 1 (Original Song)  
• The Boy and the Heron  – 1 (Animated Feature) 
• The Creator – 1 (Visual Effects)  
• The Holdovers – 1 (Supporting Actress)  
• Killers of the Flower Moon – 1 (Actress)  
• Maestro – 1 (Makeup and Hairstyling)  
• The Zone of Interest – 1 (International Feature)  

Should win:

• Oppenheimer – 8 (Picture, Actor, Director, Supporting Actor, Film Editing, Score, Sound and Cinematography) 
• Barbie – 3 (Adapted Screenplay, Production Design and Original Song)  
• Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3 – 1 (Visual Effects)  
• The Holdovers – 1 (Supporting Actress)  
• Killers of the Flower Moon – 1 (Actress)  
• Maestro – 1 (Makeup and Hairstyling)  
• Past Lives – 1 (Original Screenplay)  
• Poor Things – 1 (Costumes)  
• Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – 1 (Animated Feature)  
• The Zone of Interest – 1 (International Feature)